Friday, March 28, 2008

Dewey Defeats Truman!

OK, apparently reports of Obama's demise were premature. All of a sudden NC looks like it will be a rout.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_032508.pdf (Obama by 21 pts)
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/downloads/uploaded/31_InsiderAdvantage_%20Majority_Opinon_NC_Dem_Poll_(3-27-2008).pdf (Obama by 15 pts)

Splits along racial/gender/age/income lines look pretty much like they did coming out of Texas and Ohio. Basically ... polls are indicating a full recovery from the Pastor Wright flap.

Also there is today's daily Gallup:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/105814/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Back-Into-Lead-Democratic-Race.aspx?loc=interstitialskip (Obama by 8 pts nationally)

I should caveat this by saying that we still can't rule out the "Bradley Effect"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect

But I would expect that we'll see a boatload of superdelegate commitments to Obama based on these polls alone. Perhaps that will be followed by Clinton bowing out. This thing may be over folks.

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